Thursday, November 20, 2014
Months' Payables Oustanding
Days' payables outstanding is frequently used to determine if a company
pays its bills slowly, yet for for some companies, months' payables
outstanding may be a better measure. CFO recently discussed
45 publicly traded companies that had an average days' payables
outstanding of 212.3 days. The longest had a days' payable of 585.9
days, or almost 20 months! Although the article touts a long payables
period as beneficial because "the company is able to deploy cash to
other uses," it is also forcing the company's suppliers to finance part
of the company's operations.
Monday, November 17, 2014
Interest Rate Risk
So far this year, investors have poured $113 billion
into investment grade bond mutual funds. While such bonds appear to
have a relatively low default risk in the current environment, the YTM
on these bonds is close to a record low. The Federal Reserve has indicated that it plans to increase the Fed Funds rate,
which will increase corporate borrowing rates as well. You should also
be aware that the lower the current YTM, the greater the interest rate
risk. Consider, in May and June 2013, investment grade bonds dropped five percent because of an increase in interest rates. Therefore, if interest rates do increase, investors may be in for a shock.
Ford's F-150
Ford, which manufactures the best-selling F-150 pickup, is making a big
bet on aluminum. The company began manufacturing F-150s today that are entirely made of aluminum.
The switch will lower the weight of the pickup by about 700 pounds,
increasing full economy. From a capital budgeting perspective, we
appreciate that the author of the linked article accounted for the erosion of 90,000 units
this year, with an associated sales figure of $3.6 billion.
Wednesday, November 12, 2014
Apple's Euro Bonds
Apple recently offered €2.8 billion ($3.5
billion) in bonds. The bonds are equally divided between an 8-year
maturity issue and a 12-year maturity issue. The notes will pay 30 basis
points and 45 basis points more than the benchmark interest rate,
respectively. The yields of 1.082 percent and 1.671 percent are some of
the lowest in history for these maturities. The euro bond issue will
allow Apple to tap into its enormous overseas cash horde and the
proceeds will likely be used for dividends and share repurchases.
U.S. Corporate Overseas Cash Grows
U.S. corporate cash balances held overseas have reached $2.1 trillion,
a 600 percent increase over the past 12 years. In comparison, the
domestic U.S. corporate cash balance is $1.9 trillion. The major reason
for the growth in international cash balances is the U.S. tax policy
that taxes repatriated profits at the difference between the local tax
rate already paid and the U.S. corporate tax rate, which is one of the
highest in the world. Repatriating overseas cash does not necessarily
mean the cash will be used for investment. One study indicates during
the 2004 tax holiday, every dollar repatriated generated an $0.80
dividend payment and $0.15 share repurchase. While politicians may decry
the lost corporate tax revenue that arises with a repatriation tax
holiday, personal income taxes balloon with the increased dividends and
share repurchases.
Mini-Bowies
Bowie bonds were created in 1997 when the current and future revenues of
the 25 albums David Bowie recorded prior to 1990 were pooled and sold
as bonds. Prudential Insurance, which purchased the entire $55 million
bond issue, received a 7.9 percent coupon over the next 10 years. One
advantage of such an asset is the correlation with more traditional
assets, like stocks and bonds, tends to be low. Now, a marketplace
exists to sell music royalties and the cash flows from other intellectual property in auctions for as low as $4,000 each. Yields on these instruments is as high as 20 percent, although we should warn you that any yield that high does entail significant risk.
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