Tuesday, June 30, 2020
Fintech
So what is Fintech? Fintech is a broad term, covering direct money
transfers, crowdfunding, and direct to consumer lending. But an
important part of fintech is embedding financial products
in everyday consumer and business products. For example, Amazon offers
free credit on every purchase, although it is often better to use an
Amazon credit card for a 5 percent discount, assuming that you pay your
credit card bill every month. Of course the Amazon credit card and the
Apple credit card are actually fintech services as well. But Amazon went
even further, partnering with Goldman Sachs to offer small business
loans of up to $1 million to its merchants. Shopify has also rolled out
loans to its customer base, loaning out over $750 million to date. A big
advantage for existing companies in offering financial products to
existing customers is a built-in client base, as well as knowledge of
what financial services a customer may need.
Friday, June 26, 2020
Wirecard Turmoils
Creditors of German digital payment processor Wirecard, which advertised
"Beyond Payments," may find that the company's debts are beyond
payment. Wirecard also proved that accounting fraud is unfortunately
worldwide when it filed for bankruptcy yesterday. The company said that €1.9
billion ($2.1 billion) in cash that was on its balance sheet probably
never existed in the first place. Now, things have gotten bad for the
company's auditors as the German shareholder association SdK announced
that it had filed a criminal complaint against the company's auditor
Ernst & Young (EY). SoftBank, a major investor, also announced that
it planned to file against EY. In its defense, EY stated there were
"clear indications that this was an elaborate and sophisticated fraud,
involving multiple parties around the world at different institutions,
with a deliberate aim of deception" and that "even the most robust and
extended audit procedures" were not enough to uncover the fraud.
Thursday, June 18, 2020
Day Trading For Profit?
In our opinion, a negative financial outcome of the COVID-19 pandemic is
the rise of day trading. Dave Portnoy, the CEO of Barstool Sports, has
named himself "Davey Day Trader"
and helped popularize day trading. And although not all are day trading
accounts, Robinhood added 3 million accounts during the first quarter
of 2020. One new investor,
a 20-year old from Nebraska, tragically committed suicide after his
account balance showed a loss of over $700,000. In fact, his account
balance may have only been temporary until trades settled. It is
important to note that short-term investors tend to do worse than longer term investors, and for day traders, the success rate is less than 10 percent,
with only 1 percent or so who really make money. We do believe that
investing is worthwhile, but do your research, diversify, and make
longer term decisions.
Monday, June 15, 2020
Hertz SEO
We had previously discussed the Hertz bankruptcy filing. In an
indication that the current economic conditions caused by the COVID-19
lockdown are unique, Hertz is planning a secondary stock offering
while in bankruptcy. An SEO in the middle of a bankruptcy filing has
never been attempted before. The company has warned prospective
shareholders that it is unlikely that they will receive anything in
bankruptcy, and barring a rapid improvement in the company's prospects,
will almost certainly be wiped out. Based on the current stock price,
Hertz hopes to raise $500 million. Hertz currently owes about $2.3
billion. This is certainly an SEO we are not trying to jump in line to
buy.
Monday, June 8, 2020
Misunderstood Dividends
As we have stressed in the textbook, an investor should be indifferent
between dividends and capital gains. And, in a world with higher taxes
on dividends than on capital gains, investors should prefer capital
gains. A recent WSJ article
discusses the fact that many investors prefer dividends. In fact, the
British Investment Association, which represents investment managers in
the UK, argued that companies should not reduce dividends. It is
surprising that professional investment managers would have such a
strong view on high dividends. The preference for high dividends also
appears to affect corporate finance as well. One survey mentioned in the
article finds that about two-thirds of CFOs admit they would forego
profitable projects if undertaking these projects would result in a
dividend cut.
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