Any stream of cash flows can potentially be sold for the present value
of its cash flows. And one of the biggest cash flows being sold recently
is an artist's song catalog. The owner of a song catalog receives the
cash flows from the royalty paid whenever a song is played. It was
announced yesterday that Justin Bieber's song catalog
was sold for a reported $200 million. And although we agree that this
is a tidy sum, it is still smaller than the $500 million that Bruce
Springsteen or $300 million that Bob Dylan received last year for
similar sales. The price isn't cheap as song catalogs are reportedly
being sold for 30 times annual royalties.
Wednesday, January 25, 2023
Your Song (Is For Sale)
Future Stock Returns
As Mark Twain once said, "Prediction is difficult - especially about
the future." And while investors would wish otherwise, predictions about
the stock market are especially difficult. Many investors will use
historical returns as an estimate of future returns. However, the job of
an analyst is to make stock market predictions based off additional
evidence. Recently, Vanguard, one of the largest mutual fund companies
in the world, released its 10-year annualized forecast
for financial markets. Vanguard is estimating only a 4.7% to 6.7%
annual return for large-cap U.S. stocks and a 5.0% to 7.0% annual return
for small cap stocks. So will the stock market achieve its historical
average return over the next 10 years, or is Vanguard correct? Check
back with us in 2033!
Wednesday, January 11, 2023
It Was In My Other Pocket
Have you ever been short on money and gone through your clothes, only to
find a $20 bill that you had forgotten about? We are sure that you were
relieved. The same thing just happened to cryptocurrency exchange FTX,
which filed for bankruptcy back in November. FTX attorneys announced that the company had found $5 billion
in cash, liquid cryptocurrency, and other liquid investments! Of
course, it appears that there may be other pockets to check as the total
value of missing customer assets is $8 billion.