Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Stock And Gold Correlation
Historically, the correlation between the stock market and gold prices
is low, or even negative during some periods. Because of this, gold is
often seen as a good asset for a diversified portfolio since a low or
negative correlation can increase diversification. However, just because
it happened in the past does not mean that it will happen in the
future. For example, while the market dropped on Monday, gold prices also took a hit.
While one day does not a trend make, both the stock market as a whole
and gold are down year-to-date. All of this should be taken as a
warning. Just because two assets have had a low or negative correlation
in the past does not mean that the correlation will hold going forward.
In other words, when using correlation, we want the correlation going
forward but are often forced to use historical correlation.