Monday, February 1, 2016
Timing The Stock Market
Students (and a lot of investment professionals) think that timing that
market, that is leaving the stock market before it goes down, is a good
strategy. And while we would like to sell our stocks before a price
drop, it is easier said than done. A recent article
highlights the danger of missing the good days in the stock market.
Fidelity Investments calculated the return from investing $10,000 in the
S&P 500 from January 1, 1980 through March 31, 2015. If you were
invested every day, your portfolio balance would have grown to $503,741.
However, if you missed the five best days in the market, your balance
would have been about $309,431, a 40 percent decrease! Missing the 50
best days would have dropped your portfolio balance to $41,803, or about
eight percent of the value of being invested every day. There are about
252 trading days per year, so missing 5 days (or 50 days) out of about
8,800 days can have a serious impact on the value of your investments.