Wednesday, July 6, 2016
Delta Loses Big On Fuel Hedge
Companies with significant risks, such as currency or commodity risks,
often hedge exposure to that risk. An industry with a a history of
hedging is the airline industry, with companies often hedging fuel
prices. However, not all hedges make money. For example, Delta Airlines recently announced
that it lost $450 million on its fuel hedges in the second quarter of
2016 as it closed all of its hedges for the year. Delta is not alone as
other airlines such as U.S. Airways and United have abandoned fuel
hedges, citing lower fuel prices. We would like to point at that lower
prices are not a good reason to eliminate hedges. By eliminating its
hedges, Delta is now subject to the risk of increasing fuel costs. A
hedge is designed to reduce volatility, so a reason to not hedge is the
lack of volatility, not low prices, a fact often missed. Looking at the
quote in the article from CNN Money: “Fuel prices are up 60% from their
January lows, but they’re down 20%
from a year ago. So, even with the cost of canceling
its fuel contract, Delta will save money on fuel … in the second
quarter.” While we agree that Delta will make more money with lower fuel
prices compared to January, if fuel prices increase, Delta will not
make as much as they could have going forward.