Monday, July 18, 2016
What Is Dell Really Worth?
While students often expect that stock price valuation should result in
an exact price that everyone agrees with, this almost never happens in
practice. Take the court case involving Dell's management buyout
(MBO). When the MBO went through in 2103, the price calculated by
management experts, through a year-long process, was $13.78 per share.
However, a group of dissident shareholders had independent experts value
Dell at $28.61 per share, a difference of $28 billion. In the
valuation, both parties used the same components: the forecast cash
flows for a specific period, the value of the cash flows beyond that
period, and the discount rate (WACC). However, the experts differed on
the company's capital structure, as well as the cost on equity. In the
end, the court used its own assumptions and arrived at a share price of
$17.62 per share. As you can see from Dell, experts can use the same
technique and arrive at widely differing answers when valuing a company.